(Chicago Sun Times) You know what Sunday is right? No not the Super Bowl geez youre worse than I am. Thats … the first Sunday in February. This coming Sunday Jan. 20 is … wait for it … the second anniversary of the Trump presidency. And you without a gift. Dont feel bad these things sneak up. Two years down. Only … six to go. Ha ha! You thought I was going to say two to go" didnt you? You believe hes out in 2020 if not before? Pretty to think so. But if this historical epoch has taught anybody anythingand Im not convinced it hasits the infinite human capacity for self-delusion and a bottomless genius for misunderstanding what is going on right before our eyes. From where Im sitting Trump wins in 2020. Handily. Why? Lots of reasons. President Donald Trump gestures as he acknowledges the fake snow that fell as he entered the Mississippi Coast Coliseum for a rally Monday Nov. 26 2018 in Biloxi Miss. President Donald Trump at a rally in Mississippi in November. AP Photo First hes the incumbent. History favors the incumbent: 19 presidents have run for re-election since 1900 (including Gerald Ford who was technically running for his first election since he was never voted in). Fourteen won five lostTaft to Wilson; Hoover to FDR; Ford to Carter; Carter to Reagan and George H. W. Bush to Clinton. So statistics give Trump almost 3-to-1 odds of winning.